Syria

An interview with Alexandre Latsa

 
GRA: Western media confidently say that the fall of the current Syrian regime is inevitable. In your opinion, how well founded this prediction is, and is there some political power that can bring order to this situation?
 
A.L.:Technically and militarily, it seems to me that the Syrian army has the ability to defend the constitutional order in Syria as it has close to 500,000 soldiers, and also because the army has been well-trained and equipped by the Soviet Union and then, by today’s Russia.

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Интервью с Али Реза Джалали

 
- Западные СМИ уверенно утверждают, что падение нынешнего сирийского режима неизбежно. Как вы считаете, насколько основателен этот прогноз и существует ли некая политическая сила, которая способна навести порядок в этой ситуации?
- Текущий сирийский кризис - главный геополитический вызов на Ближнем Востоке, оказывающий значительное воздействие на стабильность в международных отношениях, как в регионе, так и в мире. Можно сказать, что данная международная проблема является началом новой эры и означает переход от так называемого однополярного мира к многополярному мировому порядку.
Как мы видели в последние месяцы, отношения между странами-членами Совета Безопасности ООН дали большую трещину, наметив западную ось (США, Великобритания, Франция), которая поддерживает сирийскую оппозицию, противоположно евразийской оси (Россия, Китай), поддерживающей Башара Асада и стабильность Дамасского режима.
С другой стороны, в регионе Ближнего Востока можно увидеть две другие оси: Саудовская Аравия, Турция и Катар (союзники США) против «Оси Сопротивления» (Иран, Сирия, Хизбалла и некоторые палестинские партии).
Катар и Саудовская Аравия направили свою пропаганду в СМИ против сирийского правительства, в то время, как Турция поддерживает оружием и деньгами сирийскую оппозицию (сторонники Аль-Каиды, Братья-Мусульмане [сирийское отделение], либералы, террористы из арабских стран, Афганистан, Европа).

 

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Интервью с Марко Коста

 
Интервью с представителем Евразийского движения в Италии Марко Коста.
 
- Западные СМИ уверенно утверждают, что падение нынешнего сирийского режима неизбежно. Как вы считаете, насколько основателен этот прогноз и существует ли некая политическая сила, которая способна навести порядок в этой ситуации?
 

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Интервью с Еленой Громовой

 
- Западные СМИ уверенно утверждают, что падение нынешнего сирийского режима неизбежно. Как вы считаете, насколько основателен этот прогноз и существует ли некая политическая сила, которая способна навести порядок в этой ситуации?
- Прежде всего, хотела бы сказать (и это моя твердая позиция), что в Сирии нет никакого «режима». Есть законное правительство, есть легитимный Президент, которому народ оказал доверие в 2000 году и подавляющим большинством подтвердил свое доверие в 2007 году на выборах. Если кому-то 7-летний срок президентства кажется большим, то по этому поводу могу сказать следующее: во Франции президент избирается точно так же, на 7-летний срок, но никто не говорит, что во Франции «режим». Если Башара Асада обвиняют в том, что он сын Президента Хафеза Асада, то можно взглянуть на США, где были Буш-старший и Буш-младший. Но, опять же, никто не называет власти США режимом.
Зато эти страны и другие государства, враждебные Сирии, и подконтрольные им СМИ все неугодные им правительства называют «режимами», иногда добавляя прилагательное «диктаторские». Такая риторика используется исключительно для оправдания преступных действий против неугодных им стран. Мол, «мы не на страну нападаем, а нехороший режим свергаем»… Фашизм под оберткой «демократии» и «защиты народа от режима»… Сколько при этих действиях погибает людей – это «борцов с режимами» абсолютно не волнует – они несут знамя своей псевдодемократии, ступая по миллионам человеческих тел.

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Interview with Orazio Maria Gnerre,

GRA: Western media confidently say that the fall of the current Syrian regime is inevitable. In your opinion, how well founded this prediction is, and is there some political power that can bring order to this situation?

Orazio Maria Gnerre : The first weapon in the hands of the West is clearly the the media power, through which are fighting and winning virtual conflicts. Very often a contrived news is much more advantageous than a real victory, and who knows this auric law, in the time of the liquid information and of the Reign of Quantity,  exploits it in his favor to fully exhaust of its possibilities. But the ambivalence that characterizes certain social phenomena show itself more than ever: that is why the dissenting information, promoted through channels alternatuve to the mainstream portals and noticiaries, in the unfoldment of the post-modern disorder, is ble to filter more easily through the mesh of the dogma of the media. The alleged weakness of Syria in respect of the attempt to destabilization operated by organized terrorism on behalf of the West, of the Gulf Countries and of Israel turns out to be nothing more than yet another fallacious biased claim . Syria has to his advantage - in addition to a well-trained army, an unwavering institutional structure , a strong regional alliance with Iran (which announced that he had already committed its troops on the scenario of conflict) and, last but not least, the trust of the people that manifests itself in the solid national cohesion around the President - the alliance of superpowers like Russia and China, that claims at the UN his political weight by opposing strenuously to the possibility of any external military intervention for normalization. The only solution that promises at this stage, provides international support of Russia and China, two of the pins of the multipolar turning engaged in the defense of the rights of the Peoples, and a possible mediation between the warring factions assigned to Iran, which has already been proposed for this role.

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An interview with Alen Horvat

GRA: Western media confidently say that the fall of the current Syrian regime is inevitable. In your opinion, how well founded this prediction is, and is there some political power that can bring order to this situation?

A.H.: This is not prediction in the right meaning of the word, but only a wish of Western imperialists and their Middle Eastern allies. Theirs "predictions" are only a part of psychological war against Syria, only a method among others of the information warfare. There is no such power inside Syria which is capable to overthrow Assad only by its own power. Only no-fly zone would give them a little chance, but this is also too risky because of the Syrian air defence.

GRA : How likely is a forceful U.S. intervention in the Syrian conflict and attempt to violently overthrow the regime of Bashar al-Assad (or the U.S. will keep a distance and will not dare to risk)? Under circumstances of such a possibility, what consequences it will bring to America itself?

A.H.: USA is in the middle of the presidential race, presidential elections are in two months and because of this Obama administration will definitely not risk a war. Limited intervention as in the case of Libya is also very questionable. Foreign attack on Syria would mean activation of Iranian-Syrian mutual defence agreement, in other words it will mean war with Iran. The fact is, USA does not want war with Iran, because war would be too harmful for the USA and whole world. The objective of USA was a orange revolution in Syria and breaking the Syria-Iran pact without of big war. They lost the first round and worse for them, they have lost their moral ground and legitimacy as the world leader - as Brzezinski have said. We are not living in the time of Iraq invasion, the world has changed. U.S. one-sided actions could lead to dissolution of UN.

 
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Intervista a Orazio Maria Gnerre

GRA: I media occidentali dicono fiduciosamente che la caduta dell’attuale regime Siriano è inevitabile. Secondo lei, quanto può essere fondata questa predizione, e c’è qualche potere politico che può portare ordine in questa situazione?

Orazio Maria Gnerre: La prima arma nelle mani dell’Occidente è chiaramente il potere mediatico, attraverso il quale si combattono e vincono veri e propri conflitti virtuali. Molto spesso una notizia artificiosa risulta molto più vantaggiosa di una vittoria reale, e chi conosce questa legge aurea, nei tempi dell’informazione liquida e del Regno della  Quantità, la sfrutta a suo favore fino all’esaurimento delle sue possibilità. Ma l’ambivalenza che caratterizza certi fenomeni sociali si dimostra oggi più che mai: è per questo che l’informazione dissenziente, promossa attraverso canali alternativi ai portali ed ai notiziari mainstream, nel dischiudersi del disordine post-moderno, riesce a filtrare con maggiore facilità attraverso le maglie del dogma mediatico. La presunta debolezza della Siria nei confronti del tentativo di destabilizzazione operato da parte del terrorismo organizzato per conto dell’Occidente, dei Paesi del Golfo e di Israele si rivela essere null’altro che un’ennesima fallace pretesa dell’informazione faziosa. La Siria conta a suo vantaggio – oltre che un esercito ben addestrato, una struttura istituzionale incrollabile, una salda alleanza regionale con l’Iran (che ha comunicato di aver già stanziato proprie truppe sullo scenario del conflitto) e, non ultima, la fiducia del popolo che si manifesta nella solida coesione nazionale attorno al Presidente – l’alleanza di superpotenze al pari di Russia e Cina, che in sede ONU fanno valere il proprio peso politico, opponendosi strenuamente alla possibilità di qualsiasi intervento militare esterno di normalizzazione. L’unica soluzione che si prospetta, a questo punto, prevede l’appoggio internazionale di Russia e Cina, due dei perni della svolta multipolare impegnati nella difesa dei diritti dei Popoli, e una possibile mediazione tra le fazioni in lotta assegnata all’Iran, che si è già proposto per questo ruolo.

GRA: Quanto è probabile un intervento energico degli Stati Uniti nel conflitto Siriano e un tentativo di rovesciare violentemente il regime di Bashar al-Assad (o che gli Stati Uniti mantengano invece una certa distanza e non oseranno rischiare)? Nel caso di una tale possibilità, quale conseguenze porterà tutto ciò alla stessa America?

Orazio Maria Gnerre : La Siria rimane innanzitutto un obiettivo Israeliano, da considerare come tappa precedente ad un probabile attacco all’Iran. Gli Stati Uniti hanno interessi “indiretti” nel conflitto, che non rispondono a necessità o urgenze strategiche, ma possono essere considerati “obiettivi secondari”. Tra questi, innanzitutto quello di eliminare uno Stato non allineato dallo scacchiere geopolitico. Le vere urgenze statunitensi si chiamano rispettivamente Cina e Russia. Anche in tal senso, la riuscita della destabilizzazione siriana significherebbe per gli Stati Uniti un indebolimento notevole della stabilità continentale, quindi un vantaggio strategico nei confronti dei primi nemici della sfida globale. È difficile prevedere cosa faranno effettivamente gli Stati Uniti, e come sarebbero in grado di giustificare davanti all’opinione pubblica l’ennesima dichiarazione di guerra del premio Nobel per la pace, Barack Obama. O, più probabilmente, l’attacco verrebbe condotto dopo le elezioni incombenti. In tal caso, potremmo solo osservare gli eventi precipitare verso scenari apocalittici.

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An interview with Daniele Scalea

An interview with Daniele Scalea, scientific secretary of the Italian Institute of Geopolitics (IsAG), co-editor-in-chief of the Italian journal Geopolitica.

GRA : Western media confidently say that the fall of the current Syrian regime is inevitable. In your opinion, how well founded this prediction is, and is there some political power that can bring order to this situation?

D.S.: I think that the Syrian regime has so far shown a stunning solidity. There was a period in which Syrian army lost a substantial part of national territory, but it has managed to reconquer it; there was then a surprise attack to Damascus (similar to the surprise attack against Tripoli which toppled Gaddafi), but the government has regained control of the city; there were some important defections among the power establishment, but the latter remain so far close and gathered around Bashar al-Assad. So, I don't think that a violent overthrow of Syrian government is imminent nor probable, except for the case of a foreign invasion.

Thus who can bring order to this situation is a NATO-led invasion (which would obviously create an order favorable to US hegemony, which could also be a "disorder", i.e. a sectarian division of Syria) or a peaceful negotiated agreement between involved great powers, which would put an end to foreign interference that is feeding the civil war in Syria.

GRA: How likely is a forceful U.S. intervention in the Syrian conflict and attempt to violently overthrow the regime of Bashar al-Assad (or the U.S. will keep a distance and will not dare to risk)? Under circumstances of such a possibility, what consequences it will bring to America itself?

D.S.: I hold really unlikely a direct armed intervention of US in the Syrian conflict, i.e. an intervention further that the arming of rebels (which is probably already underway). New US strategy provide for the use of proxy countries in war - especially in the Near East, since US focus is shifting towards Far East - with at most a limited direct contribution. Lybian war is the model: France, UK, Italy and Qatar were in the frontline, while US remained on the second row. In the Syrian case proxy roles is assumed by Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. It is so more probable an intervention by those countries. But I believe it is unlikely too. In fact, such an action would risk to bring in the conflict also Iran, and then US would be obliged to intervene in first person. That is a dream scenario for Israel, and also for a part of US establishment, but I guess that the main part of Washington rulers - and especially Obama and his entourage - want to avoid it.

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